Tag Archives: Weather

Formula One: Monaco Tips + Spot the missing Driver

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If we can take anything from the Spanish Grand Prix it is expect the unexpected, with that in mind, but with a sustained sense of reality, here are my top tips for the Monaco Grand Prix weekend.

Qualifying.

With overtaking around the streets of Monaco almost impossible many see qualifying on Saturday as the real race over the weekend. Drivers will be looking to build momentum towards a performance crescendo in the session, expect drivers to be completing a lot more laps than typical qualifying sessions, and expect to hear a lot of complaints about traffic!

Qualifying pace is likely to come down to the team with the greatest ability to turn up performance over the weekend and the team most comfortable on the new Ultra Soft tyre compound. Mercedes elected not to run the tyre in testing, offering Red Bull and Ferrari hold an advantage. Odds of 10/1 are on offer for either Daniel Ricciardo or Max Verstappen to set pole, 12/1 for Vettel and interestingly 25/1 for Kimi Raikkonen. Kimi is quietly performing very well this year, currently sitting 2nd in the driver’s championship the SF16-H clearly suits his driving style. The 2007 champion and previous Monaco winner is long overdue a return to the front of the grid, with long odds like that he might be worth consideration.

Check out William Hill here for more.

Weather

The 5-day forecast predicts a 60% chance of rain for race day. Whilst this is still a bit far out, a rain affected Monaco Grand Prix often throws up interesting results, who can forget the 1996 race in which Olivier Panis won in a Ligier, and only 4 cars passed the finish line.

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Keep an eye on the weather forecast as the weekend progresses, should rain look likely come Friday I would look towards the drivers who have performed well around Monaco in junior series, such as the Renault duo of Kevin Magnussen and Jolyon Palmer as outsiders for an each way split as race winners (which would mean a payout at 1/3 odds for a podium finish) available at 2000/1

Check out William Hill here for more.

Red Bull Racing

Whilst the Mercedes team and drivers claim to have moved on from the race ending incident in Spain, pressure will be at an all time high heading into Monaco. Hamilton has not won a race since Austin 2015, and for one reason or another hasn’t been able to beat Nico around Monaco since they became teammates. Could the pressure to perform could prove too much and a repeat of the Spanish incident could be possible?

Red Bull Racing showed, as in 2014, when Mercedes slip up they will be there to pick up the pieces. With odds of 9/1 on either RBR driving taking the chequered flag, the Austrian team should be considered an option for the weekend.

Check out William Hill here for more.

 Mclaren

I’ve been talking about Mclaren’s Monaco prospects since before the Spanish Grand Prix (in this article and this one!) the same theory stands. Mclaren have pace on low speed corners, they have a strong chassis and a restored air of confidence. Alonso has commented Monaco should be the teams best race of the year.

With odds still available at 100/1 for Alonso and 150/1 for Button for a win. A punt on the team should be given serious thought. A win would still require retirements from the top teams and as we have seen that already this year this can not be ruled out. Taking an each way split or podium offering could be a winner.

Check out William Hill here for more.

Spot the missing driver

Finally, a quiz for you all to play when checking out bookies odds for the Monaco Grand Prix. Spot the driver missing from all the odds. Check out the Monaco section on this site , and see if you can see which driver is missing.

Answers on a postcard… or in the comments section below. Name the driver and the crazy speculation as to why he is not included!

Enjoy the Monaco Grand Prix!

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Formula One: Five Top Tips for the Spanish Grand Prix

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Formula One heads to Spain this weekend for the first European round of the 2016 Formula One World Championship. The layout of the circuit does not typically lend itself to the most dynamic racing, but with changes in the Red Bull driver line up, an under pressure Lewis Hamilton and the prospect of rain influencing the weekend, the 2016 Spanish Grand Prix looks set to be a thriller!

Here are my top tips to look out for ahead of the weekend:

Red Bull four way fight

With the dramatic change in driver line up at the Red Bull camp following the Russian Grand Prix in Daniil Kvyat returning to Scuderia Toro Rosso and Max Verstappen stepping up to the Red Bull Racing Team, the pressure and expectation to perform will be greater than ever. Daniel Ricciardo will be keen to assert his position as team lead with Red Bull Racing and Carlos Sainz will be fighting to ensure he does not become the forgotten man of the Red Bull driver line up.

The technical nature of the Circuit de Barcelona – Catalunya should suit the aerodynamically efficient RB12. Red Bull Racing should expect to challenge Scuderia Ferrari over the weekend. Both Daniel and Max should be targeting a podium finish.

In pre-season testing around the Circuit de Barcelona – Catalunya, Scuderia Toro Rosso looked to be the only team close to challenging Mercedes. Whilst this pace has not carried into the season the team should be targeting a healthy points haul for the weekend. Both drivers should be considered for a points finish.

That being said, the pressures of the Red Bull driver programme have proved telling for Daniil Kvyat so far in 2016. Management believe they have released this pressure in placing him back in the junior team, but this may serve to heighten the pressure. With this in mind It may be worth looking to Kvyat for first retirement of the race. Currently offered at 20/1

Lewis vs Nico – Triple Accolade

The Russian Grand Prix saw Nico Rosberg secure his first ever triple crown over a race weekend, setting pole, fastest lap, and securing the win. Lewis Hamilton will be seeking to not only beat Nico this weekend but also look to gain a physiological advantage in taking the triple crown. Realistically the performance advantage of the Mercedes AMG Petronas team is such that only Nico & Lewis can look duke it out for this accolade. Odds of 10/3 and 7/2 respectively are on offer.

Manor Racing to score points?

The Circuit de Barcelona – Catalunya played host to all 8 days of pre-season testing for the 2016 Formula One World Championship. The Manor Racing team were a surprise of testing posting consistent lap times capable of challenging the top teams. Whilst it should be noted budget restrictions limit the pace of development for Manor Racing when compared to other teams, this could be the weekend in which the team finally get points on the board. Rio Haryanto is making good progress in settling into the car and is starting to challenge his team mate Pascal Wehrlein for pace, currently at 50/1 and 20/1 respectively for a points finish both drivers deserve some consideration.

Weather watch out

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Long range forecasting predict that rain may be seen over the Spanish Grand Prix weekend on both Friday and Sunday. Whilst it might be a little early in the week to place a great deal of faith in weather forecasts for the weekend, should teams see rain interruptions over free practice (Friday) they may struggle to optimise set up for the weekend which will lead to a closer midfield. Rain on race day could have a much greater impact on performance, mitigating certain shortcomings in a car, acting as an equaliser on the field where driver key plays a greater role than the capability of the car. In these conditions points position finishes become much more of a lottery. I would look consider a look at points finish odds with teams such as Force India with their experienced driver line up and if you are feeling brave possibly a podium

Monaco momentum

In the build up to the Spanish Grand Prix Paddy Lowe Technical Director at Mercedes AMG Petronas referenced the common saying in Formula One that

“if you’re quick around Barcelona, you’ll be quick everywhere”

The blend of high and low speed corners, coupled with a number of sizable straights give indications of what teams can expect at circuits through the season. Performances at the Spanish Grand Prix, if dry, should be a measure of expectations for the season. That is with the exception of Monaco.

The tight and twisty low speed nature of the streets of Monaco have very little in common with other circuits on the F1 calendar.  That being said, if you are looking for an early tip of teams or drivers to look out for around the streets of the principality check out sector times in final sector of a lap around the Circuit de Barcelona – Catalunya. The high number of low speed corners in close succession is similar to what teams can expect in Monaco. I expect to see Mclaren Honda perform well in this sector and may be worth considering as a long shot podium finish at the principality.

Formula One: Jenson “I love the track”

Mclaren Honda’s Jenson Button discusses his surprise enthusiasm for the Sochi Autodrome  with Mobil 1’s The Grid.  After struggling to pick out landmarks and differentiate corners when learning the track in the simulator, Jenson shares his thoughts on the thrill of driving through the Winter Olympic village and how the characteristics of the track encourage and rewards an aggressive style of driving.

Jenson hopes to register his first points of the 2016 season in Sochi, with the opening three races of the year falling somewhat short of both the team and drivers expectations.

Early indications suggest similar weather conditions for the 2016 running of the Russian Grand Prix to previous years despite the race moving from October to April. This should suit the supersoft tyre compound with which Mclaren have performed strongly this season.